Sunday, September 15, 2013
The World Clock
This is a repeat of an older post, but I still love this site. Check out the world clock. Click the Now button and watch the numbers fly. Could Malthus have been right after all? Do you see any trends? Any of the numbers surprise you? Check out some of the other features on the site. Leave at least a 3 sentence comment (min 50 words)
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The population is growing rapidly. Births outweigh deaths. Malthus stated resources were limited and we would eventually run out. More forests are being cut down than replanted. This means we will eventually run out of forests to cut down. It is obvious the Earth's temperature is rising, however I expected it to be rising at a slower rate. Surprisingly, the predicted amount of deaths this month is slightly lower than the average # of deaths per month for this year. I would have expected the amount of deaths to be increasing each month.
The website "The World Clock",as said in the site itself, maintains a count of many things based upon approximation from older trends and statistics.
It provides thorough quantitative data ranging from birth/death counts to items being produces and forests being cut down or replanted.
I think the huge amount of collective data does follow Malthus's theory in a way but I believe there is way too many other variables and factors to account for to have this site validate itself to be substantial proof. One cannot also take this to be so credible as well since the data is not an actual count but a conjecture based on previous data.
I just don't really believe or trust sites that give numbers like this.
I was surprised to see that the count on the items being produced compared with the total population was that big of a difference. I also am astonished on the military expenditure not by its humongous amount but the cost that is rising so rapidly.
The site shows, that birth rate is growing faster than the death rate per second. A number that I found surprising was the amount of C02 emission, in about ten second the number went up to 9,409 tons! It was good to see that the diseases, both noncommunicable and infectious don't grow as rapidly. This site seems to prove Malthus's theory, but these numbers are statistics and based off of previous days.
As Malthus predicted, population continues to rise. Aside from that, one statistic that was quite alarming (however, not too surprising) was the magnitude of the Earth's temperature change. Although well below 1 degree of change, the numbers were changing quickly. Why Texans still drive trucks is beyond my grasp.
The constant and extreme rise of military expenditure is so huge that it makes me wonder what that money could be used for if it was not being spent on military. The website has a weird focus on the spiritual realm and consciousness. I also appreciate the available tapes for everyone that still has a tape player.
Births seem to be increasing almost twice as fast as the deaths are, which makes perfect sense that the world population is steadily increasing. Use of land resources (like forests) are rising as well, yet much slower than the rise of the population. Production of oil and as a result of pollution are barreling upward. Malthus's theories certainly have some slight credibility to them, but as stated in the New Ideas book, there are plenty of factors that are unaccounted for in his ideas like technological advancement and development of new ways to do things. I doubt we'll ever see an apocalypse just because of having more people on the planet.
To a certain degree, Malthus is absolutely right. Our births over deaths per year is over 50 million. Our population is growing at a relatively fast paste in my opinion. Just like we learned in economics that resources are scarce. Right now, our world is at a point where many people can't afford what resources there is. I say a few hundred years from now, there will barely be any resources left. Whoever has the most money to pay for these things will win. Even now there are many unknowns. When will the resources run out. When will there be no oil, no trees, no food, no anything? One problem we can eventually see in the world (especially because of the population growth) is not enough jobs to accommodate the population thus leading to more poverty, then more crime, and eventually more money being spent to support people that can't provide for themselves and their families.
Wow. It is very insightful to see the rate at which the population is growing. Unfortunately, the population is expanding at a rate far greater than that of deaths. I do believe that Malthus is right in his belief that the population will grow so rapidly that there would not be enough resources to support that expansion. The evidence for this can be seen on the World Clock, in just a span of 4 minutes, there is over 500 deaths of which is mainly cause by diseases, which hypothetically could have been prevented if there were more resources.
Thomas Malthus' theory that population would soon outstrip food production seems to be likely, however it may take a while for famine or war to become apparent due to the ever increasing deaths. One of the numbers that surprises me is the forest cut number. It's so surprising to see just how much it outweighs the forest replanted number. Recycling should be a big part of the economy and should be taken seriously.
The growth of the population is amazing. In just twelve seconds the growth of the population was fifty people. However, for around every two births the number of deaths increases by one. For the causes of death it seems as if the number two main causes are cardiovascular diseases and cancer. In just five minutes twelve people had died from traffic accidents and four people had drowned. The earth’s temperature is constantly increasing which could be the effect of the increasing number of cars being produced. Malthus’s theory of the growth of population destroying the ability of the world to sustain human life has not proved to be true and most likely will not prove to be true considering the fact that the population grows at a tremendous rate every minute and so far we are surviving. It is true that the amount of carbon dioxide being emitted is increasing which is increasing pollution and global warming however this will not affect the ability of the world to sustain human life at least not in the near future.
The numbers are staggering! But, as big as those numbers are, once you watch the number of births go beyond 100 people, it become very difficult to actually understand how many lives are being created in such a short time. Of course, anyone with a relative ignorance to Liebig's Law of the Minimum would most definitely agree with Malthus and say the world is coming to an end, however, I must say that people are no longer ignorant. Once we encounter this planet's holding capacity, institutions can be placed to reduce the number of children a couple is allowed to have; this trend has even started taking place without a government incentive (besides money of course). The majority of people are now aware enough that, in the case of emergency where a law was necessary, they would realize that having more than one child is harming the environment, themselves, and in the future, their own child. Furthermore, with the advances in the pregnancy-preventitives field, desire, passion and the 'natural tendencies' of humans will no longer be a problem in the future.
It is very depressing to see all those numbers counting up so fast. It is almost like watching the US debt rising, but much more saddening. When you look at the numbers you realize that in the short 14 seconds you've looked at the site, 18 people have just died, forever gone and lost. It is all really staggering, giving you just a small glimpse of how small and insignificant we all are. Malthus is wrong about population becoming an issue in terms of food shortages, but maybe not in available land. So much forest is being clear cut to make room for all the new people in the world. The fact of the matter is that while we may not have as few resources as Malthus thought, we certainly don't have anymore land.
Malthus’s prediction on the exploding human population growth depleting earth’s resources is right as suggested by this world clock. The number of births is about double the number of deaths, which causes a surplus in population. Furthermore, the rate of population increases rapidly. Although the world clock does not display direct data on food, we can infer that it probably will fail to sustain the human population in the future. Based on the data on forests cut down and replanted, we can make this inference, since they are both raw resources. The number of forests cut down is about double of number of forests replanted. This foreshadows the deficit on raw materials due to fast population growth. The number of barrels of oil pumped and carbon dioxide emission surprised me a little; these numbers increases at such a fast rate that indicates the worsening of environment.
Malthus's prediction of an exponential growth rate is somewhat evident from the world clock. From the clock, we can see how much humans are polluting the earth because of a greater number of cars being used. Clearly, there is a greater demand for more resources to satisfy the wants of numerous amounts of people.
This site visually shows what we have heard since we were in kindergarten, that the birth rate is greater then the death rate. Through the numbers on this site it is very easy to find myself nodding my head in agreement with Malthus, seeing how quickly they add up. The number I find staggering is the rate of abortions which almost matches the rate of the deaths overall. To think how much higher the birth rate would be if the abortions were reduced by just half.
The World Clock website is an approximation of statistics based on previous results according to the website but one of the most notable values was the birth rate and death rate. The birth rate was shown be be more that twice that of the death rate and this shows us how fast the population is growing. This has a viable impact upon the world because all the while resources are not being produced at the rates that population is expanding and may lead to a resource deficit as Malthus talks about but the deficit in resources is what causes improvements to be developed in increase production (the flaw in Malthus's predictions).
No, I do not think that Malthus is correct. As the site entails, the number of natural resources supersedes the birth rate and as of now, death and birth rate are exponentially different, or at least to the point where they are “geometric”. Furthermore, as technology increases everyday from the creation of the new iPhone, to the ability of farmers to grow more with less with a new piece of farming equipment or the introduction of a new farming technique, our world’s ability to accommodate our growing population can be sustained. The number that shocked me the most was the amount of military expenditures. I believe that our money would be better spent investing in the sciences instead of the military.
Population growth is definitely growing, even if it is not what Malthus originally hypothesized. However, the only indication that the human population is reaching the cap of the "J curve" is that Earth's temperature is rising consistently. The rise in Earth's temperature would indicate that there are too many humans on the planet and we, as a collective species, are leaving a footprint, potentialy, too big for the planet.
Malthus predicted that in upcoming years, the world will be doomed of over population and food shortage. He stated that man grew at a rapid pace on a geometric scale, while food only grew on an arithmetic scale. He was somewhat right when he stated that the preventative outweighed the positive. More forests are being cut down replanted and the world gets more populated day by day. If the world stays on the same track, then Malthus might be right about dooms day.
As Malthus predicted, the number of people in the world has increased dramatically in the past few years and maybe there is some truth to his ideas. The amount of births out weigh the deaths occurring. If this trend continues the number of people will be to great to satisfy with the scarce resources of this world and maybe the ideas of Malthus wont have been so crazy. A number that i found interesting is the amount of abortions that are being done and to see that it is increasing in such a steady pace is very interesting.
The main trend I recognize is that most the numbers concerning resources, manufacturing, and population continue to increase while deadly causes tend to remain mostly stagnant. Overall, the website puts everything into perspective for it's users. There truly is something going on everywhere whether it be a fire, car accident, or drowning. The birth rate also beats the death rate by far, demonstrating the constant population growth. The most controversial topic I would say is the abortion rate. Many consider it a sad ordeal, but the website strangely shows it in a positive light to those who find themselves overwhelmed by the increasing strain on our planet.
As Malthus has predicted the world population is growing rapidly as there are more births than deaths occurring. This clock takes into account many variables but it is all based on stats of the past like Malthus believed was crazy to do. For this clock to actually be scary it would have to updated accurately everyday which is impossible to keep up with over time. There are so many variables in this world changing constantly to where I don't consider this clock to be a threat.
Yes, the population is growing rather rapidly, but most of the population growth is occurring in less developed countries. More developed countries, like Japan, are actually experiencing a negative growth rate. Malthus may have been right about population growth, but the world still has a long way to go before it collapses on itself.
The population is growing at a exponential rate which can cause natural resources like trees and our environment to get cut down. Also our non renewable resources such as oil and fossil fuel consumption is increasing day by day due to the poor recourse usage by people. Another factor that plays a significant role is the medical technology. You can tell that most of the least developed countries are experiencing a rapid medical revolution and that is the cause of overpopulation within a country. Also due to increase in population you see an increase amount of our tax funds going in to military expenditures.
The site shows the population growing at a more steady rate then the death rate. The thing that surprises me the most is the amount of money being used in the military. Malthus said resources were limited. The amount of tress being cut down each year, shows that there will very few resources left when the next generations are brought up. If this continues to happen, Malthus could be right about all scarce resources being used up.
The total population, births, and deaths were not surprising to me and although the population growth is probably increasing exponentially, what surprises me even more is the forest cut, CO2 emissions, military expenditure, and the total internet users. Obviously, Malthus didn't predict that the earth would be doomed directly from the growing population but because of the dwindling supplies of food, vegetation, and natural resources that are required to sustain modern human society. In the end, the numbers that are present today are probably what Malthus expected in his time period.
I found it to be amazing that in just two minutes we cut down 25 forests, but only replant 15. With lumber being such a precious resource, the idea of eventually running out of processable forests seems a lot more real. Also, the fact that we have 160 births in one minute with only 115 deaths, makes the idea of overpopulation appear much more prominent and impending.
When I entered the web site my eyes were met by hundreds of numbers increasing dramatically. After watching the births and deaths increase I can see that birth increases faster. After clicking on the now tab within the matter of 30 seconds 128 people have been born with 64 deaths! Its unbelievable to see how quickly these numbers increase. I believe this site in way proves Malthus's point but their are so many resources being produced also. On the website you are also capable of seeing how many bikes, cars, and computers are being produced within such a short period of time!
Malthus is correct in saying that the population growth exceeds death rates, therefore his predictions regarding positive checks may come true, although we have no way of knowing if they will. Any repercussions of excessive growth will not happen in this lifetime. Also, spending is much less surprising, because it is a well-known fact that money is being blown at a rapid rate with military expenditures and otherwise. Altogether, I was not surprised, however I have high doubts in the accuracy of this world clock, as it is likely increasing every figure at a constant rate as opposed to actual numbers.
Some of Malthus’s predictions may be very well correct since the birth rate is more than double the death rate. The numbers definitely took me by surprise, at first when I was sent over to the world clock page, I was just staring at all the numbers rapidly increasing. It was pretty overwhelming, and then I clicked on the Now and what mainly caught my attention was the birth rate compared to the death rate. Malthus could also be right about our scarce resources being used up due to the extremely quick growing birth rate, but then again this world clock could also be inaccurate.
In a sense, Malthus is correct in his prediction that resources would be in high demand but this still does not support his concept that resources would be entirely exhausted. With the time it takes to consume a considerable portion of a particular resource comes the knowledge it takes to compensate for what we have consumed. Overall, humans are capable of designing ways to keep resources in check. However, we still need to exercise the practice of conservation.
According to the World Clock, the population growth is rapidly increasing. The number of births exceeds the death rate by huge margin and the gape is still widening. I'm surprised we spend so much on military expenditures and at the large amounts of bicycles we produce. I assumed there would have been at least one species that would be become extinct but i guess that such a thing wouldn't happen in a days time.
I have some major issues believing a sight like this. I'm shocked the the birth rates are so much higher than the death rates just because everyone is always saying how millions are dying all the time, maybe a plague would be beneficial for the sake of the population. However one thing that shocked and slightly scared me, was the amount of CO2 admissions and how rapidly it increases per second.
Malthus theorized that the population would grow faster than the demand for supply. Based up on his theory and the given data from the website, his theory proves to be somewhat applicable. The population by far exceeds the stuff being produced but just at a slower rate. In given time though, Malthus's theory will be more noticeable and nothing ceases to change.
given by the website that it is based upon estimations and generalizations from past statistics, There is an undeniable trend that the stats are following. Some of the numbers surprised me on was how fast and slow some of the rates were going such as the military expenditure.
I was also surprised within the rates between the ratio of the world population with the total amount of internet users. The comparison shows you the technology advancement the world has gone through so far seeing that an approximate 1/7 people in the world have internet.
The numbers shown on this website are definitely surprising! Births are higher than deaths, there are more forests cut down than being planted, and the amount of CO2 emissions and oil being pumped is scary. Malthus did predict that one day we will run out resources and the earth will reach it carrying capacity. I believe at the rate the numbers on the clock are changing that we may infact face a situation similar to that of Malthus's predictions. Even with technolosy improving, I think that there will be some kind of catastrophe that the population will eventually face.
Hm... I'm not quite sure what to make of the information shown on the website. ON one hand, the furiously growing numbers of births is staggering, and the population does seem to be constantly growing. This complies with Malthusian principles. However, at the same time, the industry is booming. To me it seems that the production is a little bit behind, but overall it's not like the whole of society is really short of anything. The major problem seems to be the resources. I'm really hoping that the technology would somehow rise and fix that problem, just like how the book said it would.
Hm... I'm not quite sure what to make of the information shown on the website. ON one hand, the furiously growing numbers of births is staggering, and the population does seem to be constantly growing. This complies with Malthusian principles. However, at the same time, the industry is booming. To me it seems that the production is a little bit behind, but overall it's not like the whole of society is really short of anything. The major problem seems to be the resources. I'm really hoping that the technology would somehow rise and fix that problem, just like how the book said it would.
The clock moves quickly as the numbers to our world population increase by the half second. Almost all of the numbers presented increase at a steady and quick rate. Malthus very well could have been right. The problem with his theory was that he didn't take into account any advancements in society to tender his doomsday prophecy. However much progress we have made in recent there is still the likely hood that such progress will slow once again.
Malthus could be right in a sense that we might run out of resources since the population in continually increasing. It shows birthrate at a faster rate then death rate as well as forest cut rate faster than forest replant rate. What shocks me is that around 1/7 of the population are internet users and that both are increasing each second.
The population is obviously increasing, as is evident by looking at the population grow by 146 in just one minute. This does fit with Malthus' theory that population increases exponentially. But the other part of his theory about production does not seem to be as bad as he made it out to be. It seems like production, if a little behind, is for the most part, keeping up with the population. On another note, I just think the rate of growth from military expenditure is just jaw dropping.
I believe Malthus is right. According to the world clock, the number of births are nearly half of the people who die. I also noticed how population rises very rapidly. It is sad to know how many abortions there are every minute.
By Jove, the numbers are climbing rapidly! I really love how military expenditures is listed on here as it creates a sense of how fearful and weary nations are of each other. This disillusionment of an undying threat within our minuscule planet emphasis the "every man for himself" dogma. It's fairly interesting to think that there are still more bicycles being produced in comparison to cars. Whatever warrants this model has, I'd really like to have a glimpse into it. Yes, some of these figures seem likely, like a measure of our growing population, but having over 20,000 species go extinct within a year seems too far fetched. While inspecting the model, it is, however, noted that these predictions are all based on the past. If I learned anything from my short 18 years on this bleak, bleak, bleak, planet, it is that althought we cannot forget the past, it is not always an omen of what is to come. We humans are resiliant beings. We humans have from cave dwelling primates to space exploring gods. I find that predictions based on the past is nothing short of speculation. Mathus may be true in that resources will continue to diminish, but man will always find a way to survive, either through finding new resources, finding better resource management and product development, or finding a new home in the stars.
The numbers shown on the website were kind of expected for me, however it is still crazy to thing the world is growing this much. Births are higher than deaths, population growth is rising and with it, there are more human induced activities such as deforestation and causing CO2 emission. Malthus predicted that one day the earth will run out of resources as it reaches its fullest capacity. I believe with the rate of the numbers on the World Clock, one day we might face the situation of scarce resources due to overpopulation.
The numbers show a rather revealing amount about human waste and resource consumption. We are growing at a very rapid pace, and we are harvesting a resource count to match it. The abortion rate is so high because we can't actually afford a good amount of the kids we are having but a good number are still being born. The forests and deserts are being felled and expanded at a fairly alarming rate from human activities. The military expenditure is fairly notable also, with millions and millions being spent every day on it. I didn't know that bicycles were produced in such large quantities relative to cars.
Malthus' theory hasn't come true despite our massive population mainly because of the fact that he didn't account for technological advances that have allowed us to come this far. Then again, our resources are limited so we will eventually come to a point where it'll be very hard to live. The most surprising number to me was the military expenditure. We hear about military spending all the time but this really put into perspective. The site is really interesting but the numbers aren't credible since they're probably exaggerated.
At this moment the birthrate is three times the death rate. Malthus’ belief that over population would be the end of your universe seems to be backed by this information. The gaps in these figures have since then increased by twice the gap 20 minutes ago.
There are four times more bicycles being produced then cars which are probably a result of the millions of CO2 emissions and barrels of oil pumped. There are more forests being cut down then replanted which could be the reason for the one now extinct animal race. All these numbers seem to correlate in some way. Along with that, the numbers of injuries and diseases aren’t as high as I expected, which makes me thankful for the flaw in Malthus’ theory that didn’t account for the advances in medicine.
I actually was not surprised looking over the numbers shown. Malthus's theory has not come true based on today's technology and death rate ranging from country to country around the world. Also, abortions are a huge play among population control. The fact is life is unpredictable and despite guesstimates we never truly know what's going to happen until the time comes.
One of the most obvious points from the website is that, clearly, the population is growing rapidly and that this is because the death rate, for the rough two minutes I observed, was a little less than half of the approximated birth rate. Clearly Malthus was right when it comes to the collective data based on past years and his theories over positive checks and preventive checks. One thing that did not really shock me but is interesting is that one might think that war would obviously have more deaths than that of people having any one disease, but according to the website, disease kills a substantial amount of people per 2 minutes where as war had no deaths. Even though the data from the website is more or less accurate, there is no way of telling what is actually happening considering that the data shown is based off of past years and not the year of.
Population is growing very fast. There are two times more births then there are deaths. Malthus may be correct about the limiting resources due to the growing numbers. Oil and forests are rapidly being used in just the short minutes of being on the world clock. Sadly, we won't know the time when population size has reached its limit until it happens.
The one thing that really surprises me is that the population growth is growing very rapidly, which means that the birth rate is more than doubled the death rate. I believe that Mathis could probably be right in the long run because forest cutting is increasing rapidly and producing of utilities are increasing also. That means sooner or later we could not share our living needs to the number of people we will have. Perfect timing! Whew!
With these numbers, I guess it is safe to say that Malthus's theory is correct. Birthrates outweigh death rates dramatically. I believe that our species have already surpassed the carrying capacity of the Earth and eventually will be desperate for resources. The numbers that stood out the most for me were the Forest cut and forest replanted data. There are more forests cut down than being replanted. We need to be aware of the fact that plant life is EXTREMELY VITAL for us and eventually our species would come to an end if we keep abusing these resources.
As everyone else could tell, the population is growing at an unbelievably fast pace. Malthus was definitely right about the growth rate exceeding the death rate, but not to the point where our resources are completely exhausted. Also on the note of vanishing resources, that seems to be the fastest moving part of the clock, which surprises me more than anything else on the clock. I didn't realize we used up that much oil so quickly, and then put it right back in the atmosphere almost immediately.
I think Malthus may be right in some senses. I do agree with Malthus that population grows geometrically and food grows arithmetically; however, I think will only be a short time issue. As technology increases and time passes, we will find new ways to make different types of foods that may not have to come from nature. Who knows? Therefore, I disagree with Malthus' theory that we will run out of food. I think food resources will become more scarce and people will begin fighting for them.
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